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Prediction for CME (2022-03-10T00:12:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-03-10T00:12Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/19392/-1
CME Note: Visible in the SE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and as a southward halo in STEREO A COR2. Associated with a filament eruption centered near S40E50, visible in SDO AIA 131/171/193/304 and STEREO A EUVI 195/304 beginning 2022-03-09T21:30Z. First of a 2-CME eruption from this filament.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-03-13T13:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)
Prediction Method Note:

https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/19412/1
Model Inputs:
2022-03-10T00:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-34.0, Lat.=-14.0, Speed=452.0, HalfAngle=29.0, Time21.5=2022-03-10T10:15Z
2022-03-10T02:00:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-53.0, Lat.=-21.0, Speed=551.0, HalfAngle=34.0, Time21.5=2022-03-10T12:10Z

Model Output:

Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2022-03-13T13:00Z (+- 7 hours)
(kp)90=2
(kp)180=4

Other Location(s) Impact:
STEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2022-03-13T01:50Z

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220310_101600_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220310_101600_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220310_101600_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220310_101600_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220310_101600_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220310_101600_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220310_101600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220310_101600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220310_101600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220310_101600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220310_101600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220310_101600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220310_101600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220310_101600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220310_101600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220310_101600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Lead Time: 63.52 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Michelangelo Romano (M2M Office) on 2022-03-10T21:29Z

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